Regardless of the Kremlin agreeing to scenario No. 3 (which means creation of DEFT), No. 4 (sending in peace keepers) or any combination of those, scenario No. 5 – one employing power, must be designed. At the same time work on such a scenario will serve as that impetus that will make the Kremlin fulfil the agreements. Undoubtedly, it must be a hybrid scenario as this is the only adequate response to hybrid aggression of Russia.
On the one hand, Ukraine must enhance its military capacities. There is hope that the Western partners will realize the necessity of helping Ukraine with such a weapon that would increase machine and man force loss of the occupation troops in case large-scale military action is resumed in Donbas. Such help is needed to curb the desire of the Kremlin for new acts of aggression against Ukraine. For this it would be expedient to make a decision on expansion of conscription and significant involvement of citizens in creation and training of territorial defense units in Kyiv and all the regions.
On the other hand, it is necessary to make the lives of occupation regimes in ORDLO as hard as possible. Namely, make Ukrainian TV and radio broadcasting available on all the occupied territory. At the same time, the content of such programmes must be relevant. Particular attention should be paid to crime rate on occupied territories, namely reports of terror both on the part of 'military' and 'civil' representatives of the occupation regime towards local inhabitants, reports on how they seize businesses, take away houses etc, on crimes of former militants who murder, rob, steal cars and rape. It is also necessary to raise other problems that are relevant for locals: unpaid salaries, lack of jobs, close down of factories, flooding of mines, environmental hazards, unavailability of medical services, demographic crisis, half-empty schools, poor quality food coming from Russia etc. All these facts prove that Russia has come to Donbas to destroy it. And the more locals become aware of this, the easier de-occupation of ORDLO is going to be.
Apart from this, it is necessary to use conflicts between different formations, local and Russian, that are dividing the turfs in ORDLO. These conflicts will inevitably grow stronger as Russia's ability to support DPR and LPR financially is decreasing. Ukrainian special services and information resources must promote exacerbation of this interior struggle. It will not only make reoccupation easier, but will also decrease the chance of anti-Ukrainian forces at local elections after de-occupation.